Day-to-day effects of no-deal Brexit stressed in new impact papers

Isaac Cain
September 15, 2018

"With six months to go until the United Kingdom leaves the European Union, we are stepping up our "no deal" preparations so that Britain can continue to flourish, regardless of the outcome of negotiations", Brexit minister Dominic Raab said.

A "no-deal" Brexit, the government cautioned, would make life for United Kingdom citizens and businesses more complicated, more expensive and more bureaucratic. On mobile phone charges, the document says that "in the unlikely event" of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union without a deal, consumers should "check the roaming policies of your mobile operator before you go abroad".

Permit requirements vary between European Union member states because there are two types of permit.

The papers are due to be released officially after British PM Theresa May chairs a special cabinet meeting on what to do in the event of a no-deal.

The BOE declined to comment.

Come March 29, 2019, though, that could all change.

Brexit secretary Dominic Raab warned the United Kingdom would not pay its £39 billion "divorce bill" to Brussels if it is refused a Brexit deal.

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Pro-Brexit rebels in May's party have become increasingly vocal in their opposition to her Brexit proposals this week, with one former junior minister saying 80 or more of May's lawmakers were prepared to vote against them.

Yet there is a long way to go until Dominic Raab, or anyone in government, can be sure.

Michel Barnier, the EU's chief negotiator, said on Monday that a Brexit deal was possible "within six or eight weeks" if negotiators were realistic in their demands.

Britain would fall into recession, the pound would collapse and shop prices would rocket in the event of a no-deal Brexit, credit ratings agency Moody's has warned.

"This shows the ludicrousness of the Tory Brexit agenda and also how little knowledge, appreciation or care they have for people in areas like Derry, which is essentially a cross-border city, and the many thousands across the north who drive across the border every day to work or study".

It also outlines the prospects for the United Kingdom position in regards to the Galileo global navigation satellite system, reiterating the point that the United Kingdom will have no role in the relevant programmes if there is not a Brexit deal. The question of how America will influence the course of Brexit, the expert did not answer.

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