Northeast US marinas, coastal dwellers cast wary eye on Jose

Isaac Cain
September 16, 2017

"Farther north along the USA east coast, it is too soon to determine if any other direct impacts from Jose will occur", National Hurricane Center spokesperson Dennis Feltgen said.

Still, some forecasters see Jose staying far enough offshore to avoid any major impact to the U.S. The hurricane center's margin of error for a storm five days out is about 225 miles, on average.

The storm will pass between Bermuda, the Bahamas and the southern Atlantic Seaboard as it tracks to the west, northwest and then north into next week.

Much of the coast of New England remains in the "cone of uncertainty" for Jose, so a graze or strike is still possible.

The storm may bring a high risk of rip currents, too.

Jose formed in the eastern Atlantic on September 5 and quickly organized into a fierce Category 4 hurricane by the time it made its closest approach to the Caribbean. Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, the northern coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico, and the southeast coast of the United States.

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The storm, now about 360 miles (579 kilometers) northeast of the Bahamas, is expected to strengthen to a Category 1 hurricane in the next 48 hours as it moves through the Atlantic Ocean.

By 2 a.m. Wednesday, Jose is expected to be about 200 miles off the coast of DE, with 80-mile-per-hour winds.

Only 10-20% of the models show Jose landing on the East Coast, Duffey said.

Forecasters caution that the track of Jose should be watched. It's drifting in an unusual southward direction as a high-pressure ridge strengthens to its north, and should begin a westward move over the next day.

Thankfully, Hurricane Jose doesn't pose a great threat at this time.

At the very least, higher seas/waves can be expected along the South and North Carolina coasts, including the Outer Banks, through the weekend. In this case, hurricane conditions are expected within the next 12 hours. Last year, Hurricane Otto formed on November 20 and made landfall in Nicaragua as a Category 2 storm.

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